Projected standings - 12U Diamond
20 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 3 Finish 1 → 7
5-1-1-0 11 22.5 62% 99%
4-0-2-0 10 20.7 31% 95%
3-0-2-0 8 17.6 7% 70%
6-2-0-0 12 15.7 <1% 36%
4-3-1-0 9 12.6 0% 0%
4-7-0-1 9 9.6 0% 0%
1-6-0-0 2 2.4 0% 0%
27 remaining games are against teams outside the division and are left out: the two sides are rated on different scales, so no probability can be read from them.
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (15%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 0% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

An unhandled error has occurred. Reload 🗙
Connection lost. Reconnecting… Could not reconnect. Reload The session expired. Reloading… Reload