Projected standings - 14U
33 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 3 Finish 1 → 7
7-1-2-0 16 29.0 76% 100%
4-4-0-0 8 26.7 24% 98%
4-3-1-1 10 19.2 <1% 45%
4-1-1-0 9 18.6 0% 25%
3-3-2-0 8 18.4 <1% 32%
2-1-1-0 5 8.4 0% 0%
1-6-1-0 3 6.3 0% 0%
28 remaining games are against teams outside the division and are left out: the two sides are rated on different scales, so no probability can be read from them.
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (15%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 6% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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