Projected standings - 19U Diamond
51 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 6 Finish 1 → 12
6-3-0-1 13 31.4 85% 100%
2-2-0-0 4 27.8 13% 100%
2-4-1-0 5 25.2 2% >99%
5-2-1-1 12 19.0 0% 99%
5-2-1-0 11 17.9 0% 96%
5-3-0-0 10 15.8 0% 59%
4-1-1-0 9 14.7 0% 35%
3-5-0-0 6 12.7 0% 10%
6-0-0-0 12 12.0 0% <1%
3-3-0-0 6 10.7 0% 1%
3-7-1-0 7 7.7 0% 0%
1-12-0-0 2 5.4 0% <1%
37 remaining games are against teams outside the division and are left out: the two sides are rated on different scales, so no probability can be read from them.
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (5%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 3% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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