Projected standings - 12U Lemieux
277 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 17 Finish 1 → 34
13-0-0-0 26 65.6 >99% 100%
12-1-0-0 24 61.2 <1% 100%
11-1-0-0 22 57.9 0% 100%
9-3-0-0 18 51.3 0% 100%
6-2-0-0 12 47.2 0% 100%
9-2-0-0 18 46.4 0% 100%
7-2-0-0 14 45.0 0% 100%
8-3-0-0 16 44.6 0% 100%
7-3-0-0 14 43.4 0% 100%
7-3-1-0 15 39.8 0% 100%
4-4-0-1 9 37.0 0% 100%
7-5-0-0 14 33.8 0% 100%
0-9-1-0 1 28.6 0% 99%
7-4-0-1 15 25.6 0% 96%
5-6-1-0 11 22.5 0% 76%
3-2-0-0 6 21.3 0% 65%
7-2-0-0 14 20.8 0% 65%
0-0-0-0 0 20.1 0% 47%
3-6-0-0 6 17.7 0% 20%
4-8-0-1 9 17.4 0% 10%
0-12-1-0 1 15.8 0% 10%
3-6-0-0 6 15.3 0% 6%
1-8-0-1 3 14.5 0% 6%
4-4-0-2 10 14.4 0% <1%
3-8-0-0 6 12.9 0% 1%
2-8-0-0 4 12.2 0% 1%
3-2-1-0 7 10.4 0% 0%
1-4-1-1 4 8.0 0% 0%
2-3-0-0 4 7.2 0% 0%
1-5-0-0 2 6.9 0% 0%
2-8-0-0 4 6.4 0% 0%
0-6-0-0 0 6.3 0% 0%
1-5-0-0 2 3.6 0% 0%
0-7-0-0 0 2.6 0% 0%
* No KRACH rating yet, so played at the division's median rating (8.5).
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (2%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 5% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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