Projected standings - 14U Gretzky
155 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 9 Finish 1 → 19
7-1-0-0 14 56.7 75% 100%
11-2-0-0 22 52.4 14% 100%
6-2-1-0 13 51.7 9% 100%
7-4-0-2 16 48.6 1% 100%
8-2-0-0 16 47.4 1% 100%
5-5-1-0 11 34.7 0% >99%
6-5-0-0 12 33.7 0% >99%
6-5-1-1 14 32.8 0% >99%
4-6-0-0 8 21.6 0% 36%
9-1-0-0 18 21.5 0% 25%
4-5-2-0 10 21.5 0% 35%
2-8-0-0 4 16.6 0% 4%
4-4-2-0 10 13.0 0% 0%
1-2-1-0 3 12.7 0% <1%
3-5-0-0 6 12.1 0% 0%
3-5-0-0 6 9.3 0% 0%
0-8-1-1 2 8.8 0% 0%
0-10-1-0 1 7.6 0% 0%
1-7-0-0 2 2.2 0% 0%
2 remaining games are against teams outside the division and are left out: the two sides are rated on different scales, so no probability can be read from them.
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (5%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 5% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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