Projected standings - 14U McDavid
89 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 5 Finish 1 → 11
11-0-0-0 22 62.7 >99% 100%
8-2-0-1 17 53.0 <1% 100%
5-6-1-0 11 34.8 0% 99%
5-6-1-1 12 33.7 0% 99%
4-8-1-2 11 30.7 0% 93%
10-0-0-0 20 23.1 0% <1%
5-7-0-0 10 22.1 0% 6%
1-5-2-0 4 19.9 0% 3%
3-4-1-1 8 9.0 0% 0%
1-11-0-0 2 8.3 0% 0%
1-5-0-0 2 7.5 0% 0%
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (5%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 9% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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