Projected standings - 8U AAA
177 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 11 Finish 1 → 23
9-1-0-0 18 54.7 100% 100%
8-0-0-0 16 45.8 0% 100%
6-2-1-0 13 39.2 0% 100%
6-2-1-0 13 37.4 0% 100%
7-2-1-0 15 35.2 0% >99%
7-1-1-0 15 33.9 0% 99%
6-4-0-0 12 30.7 0% 99%
5-2-2-0 12 30.0 0% 96%
1-9-0-1 3 28.6 0% 89%
1-11-0-0 2 26.8 0% 81%
2-8-0-0 4 24.1 0% 48%
3-4-1-0 7 22.8 0% 31%
3-4-1-0 7 22.5 0% 29%
4-1-0-0 8 20.8 0% 16%
3-7-0-0 6 20.0 0% 10%
2-8-0-1 5 15.5 0% 1%
2-5-0-0 4 14.0 0% <1%
3-6-0-0 6 13.6 0% <1%
3-9-0-0 6 12.1 0% 0%
5-0-0-0 10 11.9 0% 0%
3-1-0-0 6 8.0 0% 0%
1-1-2-0 4 4.0 0% 0%
1-3-0-1 3 3.0 0% 0%
* No KRACH rating yet, so played at the division's median rating (16.5).
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (5%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 3% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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