Projected standings - 10U McDavid
261 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 16 Finish 1 → 33
10-1-0-0 20 58.5 98% 100%
8-2-0-0 16 49.6 1% 100%
9-2-1-0 19 49.4 1% 100%
7-5-1-1 16 47.6 0% 100%
10-4-0-0 20 45.0 <1% 100%
8-4-1-1 18 39.9 0% >99%
6-5-0-1 13 38.7 0% >99%
6-5-1-1 14 36.6 0% >99%
5-6-0-0 10 35.8 0% 99%
8-5-0-1 17 34.4 0% 99%
7-0-0-0 14 33.5 0% 100%
6-5-0-0 12 33.1 0% 98%
0-8-0-0 0 32.2 0% 92%
3-2-0-0 6 29.4 0% 81%
6-6-0-0 12 29.3 0% 79%
6-6-0-0 12 28.4 0% 72%
7-5-1-0 15 26.4 0% 47%
1-11-0-0 2 24.6 0% 28%
6-1-1-0 13 20.4 0% 0%
0-10-0-0 0 20.0 0% 3%
5-7-0-0 10 19.6 0% 4%
6-3-1-1 14 16.7 0% 0%
4-4-0-0 8 15.0 0% 0%
3-1-0-0 6 13.4 0% 0%
3-7-0-0 6 11.7 0% 0%
2-8-0-0 4 10.3 0% 0%
2-8-0-0 4 9.9 0% 0%
2-8-0-0 4 9.2 0% 0%
2-3-1-0 5 9.0 0% 0%
4-1-0-0 8 8.0 0% 0%
0-6-0-0 0 7.6 0% 0%
2-4-0-0 4 6.9 0% 0%
1-3-0-0 2 5.7 0% 0%
* No KRACH rating yet, so played at the division's median rating (12).
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (3%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 4% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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