Projected standings - 12U AA
235 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 15 Finish 1 → 31
14-0-0-0 28 64.8 >99% 100%
7-1-1-0 15 56.3 <1% 100%
8-3-0-0 16 50.9 0% 100%
11-3-0-0 22 46.3 0% 100%
8-3-1-0 17 39.2 0% >99%
6-5-1-0 13 38.9 0% 100%
8-4-0-0 16 36.8 0% >99%
7-5-0-0 14 34.8 0% >99%
4-4-1-1 10 33.6 0% 99%
3-4-3-1 10 32.3 0% 97%
0-10-0-0 0 29.3 0% 89%
5-6-1-0 11 29.0 0% 87%
5-1-0-1 11 28.3 0% 95%
4-8-1-0 9 28.1 0% 84%
3-9-2-1 9 26.2 0% 67%
5-7-1-0 11 24.2 0% 44%
5-7-0-0 10 21.4 0% 13%
5-7-0-0 10 21.0 0% 13%
8-2-1-0 17 20.7 0% <1%
5-2-1-0 11 20.6 0% 5%
3-8-1-0 7 19.8 0% 6%
6-1-1-0 13 18.7 0% <1%
4-1-0-0 8 13.3 0% 0%
4-2-0-1 9 12.1 0% 0%
1-10-1-0 3 11.0 0% 0%
2-5-0-0 4 10.5 0% 0%
1-10-0-1 3 9.3 0% 0%
2-1-1-1 6 8.5 0% 0%
2-2-0-1 5 6.6 0% 0%
1-5-0-0 2 6.2 0% 0%
1-12-0-0 2 5.3 0% 0%
* No KRACH rating yet, so played at the division's median rating (24).
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (6%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 5% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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