Projected standings - 12U Gretzky
182 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 12 Finish 1 → 24
10-3-0-0 20 53.2 36% 100%
8-2-0-0 16 52.6 24% 100%
9-1-0-0 18 52.3 30% 100%
7-3-0-0 14 50.7 7% 100%
10-4-0-0 20 47.7 3% 100%
6-3-1-1 14 43.1 0% 100%
4-4-1-0 9 40.4 0% 100%
1-10-0-1 3 27.4 0% 99%
7-0-0-0 14 25.8 0% 100%
3-6-1-0 7 23.7 0% 92%
4-5-2-0 10 20.9 0% 63%
2-2-0-0 4 20.0 0% 57%
2-7-1-1 6 18.7 0% 40%
4-9-0-1 9 17.8 0% 26%
5-1-0-0 10 17.5 0% 10%
2-6-1-0 5 15.9 0% 14%
3-8-0-0 6 11.7 0% <1%
4-3-0-1 9 11.0 0% 0%
3-2-0-0 6 8.6 0% 0%
1-2-1-0 3 8.0 0% 0%
0-0-0-0 0 6.2 0% 0%
1-10-0-0 2 5.8 0% 0%
2-7-0-1 5 5.6 0% 0%
0-0-0-0 0 0.1 0% 0%
* No KRACH rating yet, so played at the division's median rating (9).
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (4%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 6% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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