Projected standings - 12U McDavid
241 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 14 Finish 1 → 28
9-0-0-0 18 59.8 77% 100%
7-1-1-0 15 56.8 16% 100%
8-1-0-0 16 55.8 7% 100%
9-3-0-0 18 52.3 <1% 100%
7-4-1-0 15 46.9 0% 100%
8-2-0-0 16 46.5 0% 100%
7-4-0-0 14 41.1 0% 100%
5-4-0-0 10 35.4 0% >99%
4-5-0-0 8 34.6 0% >99%
7-3-0-0 14 32.7 0% >99%
7-0-0-0 14 25.9 0% >99%
5-4-1-1 12 25.3 0% 81%
3-5-0-0 6 23.3 0% 59%
8-1-0-0 16 22.7 0% 57%
2-9-0-0 4 21.4 0% 39%
3-6-0-0 6 21.0 0% 33%
4-8-0-0 8 18.1 0% 10%
3-9-0-1 7 17.8 0% 10%
2-8-0-1 5 17.7 0% 9%
4-1-0-0 8 16.5 0% <1%
2-8-1-0 5 15.9 0% 3%
3-3-0-1 7 14.5 0% <1%
0-9-1-0 1 12.3 0% <1%
1-6-1-1 4 10.3 0% 0%
2-3-0-1 5 9.4 0% 0%
2-6-0-0 4 8.8 0% 0%
1-5-0-0 2 5.1 0% 0%
0-5-0-0 0 3.8 0% 0%
* No KRACH rating yet, so played at the division's median rating (7.5).
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (2%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 5% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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