Projected standings - 13U AA
259 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 16 Finish 1 → 32
11-0-0-0 22 60.9 40% 100%
10-1-0-0 20 60.7 29% 100%
12-0-0-0 24 60.2 16% 100%
10-1-0-0 20 58.9 15% 100%
11-0-1-0 23 55.7 <1% 100%
8-3-1-1 18 43.9 0% 100%
5-4-1-0 11 43.2 0% 100%
6-5-0-0 12 36.3 0% 100%
5-5-1-0 11 35.5 0% >99%
7-3-0-1 15 33.0 0% 100%
4-7-0-0 8 29.0 0% 98%
4-8-0-1 9 25.8 0% 88%
3-8-0-0 6 24.4 0% 83%
4-7-1-0 9 24.0 0% 80%
5-7-0-0 10 23.1 0% 73%
4-8-0-0 8 20.7 0% 48%
3-8-1-1 8 19.9 0% 37%
0-9-0-0 0 19.6 0% 36%
3-6-0-0 6 19.4 0% 34%
4-2-0-0 8 18.8 0% 8%
1-7-1-1 4 17.0 0% 13%
3-5-0-0 6 16.4 0% 1%
6-2-1-0 13 15.2 0% <1%
2-2-0-0 4 12.6 0% <1%
2-9-0-0 4 12.2 0% 1%
2-7-0-0 4 11.9 0% 1%
1-11-0-1 3 9.7 0% <1%
2-3-0-0 4 8.3 0% 0%
4-0-0-0 8 8.0 0% 0%
4-4-0-0 8 8.0 0% 0%
0-4-0-0 0 2.0 0% 0%
0-0-0-0 0 0.0 0% 0%
* No KRACH rating yet, so played at the division's median rating (5.5).
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (3%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 4% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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