Projected standings - 15U AA
161 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 11 Finish 1 → 23
9-0-0-0 18 63.0 >99% 100%
11-1-0-0 22 54.8 <1% 100%
7-1-0-0 14 53.2 <1% 100%
8-2-1-0 17 48.0 0% 100%
6-2-0-1 13 38.6 0% 100%
7-4-0-0 14 38.4 0% 100%
4-6-0-0 8 30.7 0% >99%
4-6-0-2 10 25.5 0% 98%
4-2-1-0 9 25.1 0% >99%
4-3-0-0 8 20.7 0% 81%
5-11-1-0 11 19.5 0% 57%
3-8-1-1 8 17.9 0% 31%
3-8-0-0 6 16.9 0% 24%
6-2-0-0 12 15.8 0% 1%
2-8-1-0 5 14.8 0% 9%
3-1-0-0 6 10.0 0% 0%
2-8-2-0 6 9.9 0% 0%
3-5-0-0 6 8.9 0% 0%
2-10-0-0 4 8.8 0% <1%
1-4-1-0 3 6.9 0% 0%
3-1-0-0 6 6.0 0% 0%
0-4-0-0 0 1.1 0% 0%
0-0-0-0 0 0.0 0% 0%
* No KRACH rating yet, so played at the division's median rating (29).
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (4%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 4% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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