Projected standings - Girls 16U AAA
18 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 2 Finish 1 → 4
1-1-0-0 2 14.0 43% 81%
2-1-1-0 5 14.0 43% 82%
0-0-0-0 0 11.0 14% 36%
0-1-1-0 1 5.0 <1% 1%
* No KRACH rating yet, so played at the division's median rating (4286).
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (25%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 0% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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