Projected standings - 10U Gretzky
88 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 7 Finish 1 → 14
9-3-0-1 19 47.2 75% 100%
9-1-0-1 19 44.3 23% 100%
11-5-0-0 22 40.9 <1% 100%
7-3-1-0 15 39.0 1% 100%
8-3-0-0 16 31.8 0% 100%
7-4-0-0 14 30.2 0% >99%
6-3-0-0 12 28.8 0% >99%
7-1-0-1 15 20.8 0% <1%
6-3-1-0 13 16.0 0% 0%
2-10-0-0 4 12.9 0% <1%
2-4-0-0 4 11.9 0% 0%
1-13-0-0 2 7.0 0% 0%
1-9-0-0 2 4.8 0% 0%
1-6-0-0 2 3.3 0% 0%
51 remaining games are against teams outside the division and are left out: the two sides are rated on different scales, so no probability can be read from them.
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (1%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 5% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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