Projected standings - 11U AA
174 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 14 Finish 1 → 28
9-0-1-0 19 67.6 100% 100%
8-4-0-0 16 46.5 0% 100%
8-4-2-1 19 44.9 0% 100%
7-3-1-0 15 43.1 0% 100%
7-4-0-1 15 38.7 0% 100%
6-5-1-0 13 38.6 0% 100%
4-4-0-0 8 35.9 0% 100%
8-6-1-0 17 30.8 0% 100%
5-1-0-0 10 28.7 0% 100%
6-5-0-0 12 26.6 0% 98%
4-4-0-0 8 24.6 0% 91%
6-2-0-0 12 23.4 0% 98%
4-6-1-0 9 23.1 0% 87%
3-8-1-0 7 19.6 0% 57%
3-8-0-1 7 19.2 0% 49%
7-1-0-0 14 18.1 0% 21%
4-1-1-0 9 12.1 0% 0%
3-2-0-0 6 9.6 0% 0%
2-3-1-0 5 8.8 0% 0%
4-1-0-0 8 8.0 0% 0%
2-6-0-0 4 5.8 0% 0%
1-5-0-0 2 4.8 0% 0%
1-13-0-0 2 4.0 0% 0%
0-0-0-0 0 3.8 0% 0%
0-0-0-0 0 2.9 0% 0%
0-4-0-1 1 1.9 0% 0%
0-8-0-0 0 0.3 0% 0%
0-4-0-0 0 0.2 0% 0%
* No KRACH rating yet, so played at the division's median rating (53.5).
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (4%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 4% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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