Projected standings - 16U Lemieux
169 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 11 Finish 1 → 22
10-0-0-0 20 63.1 99% 100%
9-1-0-0 18 54.9 1% 100%
12-3-0-0 24 46.4 0% 100%
9-1-0-0 18 46.3 0% 100%
10-3-0-0 20 46.0 0% 100%
12-6-0-1 25 41.2 0% 100%
8-4-0-0 16 39.7 0% 100%
5-4-0-0 10 38.4 0% >99%
12-1-0-0 24 34.4 0% 100%
8-3-0-0 16 30.8 0% >99%
0-11-0-0 0 24.2 0% 51%
0-10-0-1 1 24.0 0% 47%
7-2-1-0 15 17.3 0% <1%
3-7-1-0 7 16.2 0% 1%
5-11-0-0 10 14.9 0% <1%
3-11-0-0 6 14.9 0% 1%
3-8-1-0 7 13.7 0% <1%
3-7-0-0 6 12.0 0% 0%
4-14-0-1 9 11.9 0% 0%
4-3-1-1 10 11.8 0% 0%
1-9-0-0 2 4.3 0% 0%
1-10-0-0 2 2.7 0% 0%
* No KRACH rating yet, so played at the division's median rating (54).
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (2%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 3% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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