Projected standings - 18U Gretzky
145 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 10 Finish 1 → 21
9-1-0-0 18 57.5 57% 100%
10-1-0-0 20 56.9 42% 100%
7-4-0-0 14 48.9 <1% 100%
11-1-1-0 23 36.2 0% 100%
8-3-0-2 18 34.3 0% >99%
7-4-0-1 15 32.1 0% >99%
5-9-1-0 11 32.0 0% >99%
5-4-1-0 11 31.0 0% 99%
8-0-0-0 16 23.9 0% 65%
5-5-2-0 12 23.4 0% 48%
5-3-1-1 12 23.2 0% 44%
4-7-1-0 9 21.9 0% 28%
5-5-1-1 12 20.3 0% 8%
7-1-0-0 14 19.1 0% <1%
4-11-0-0 8 18.9 0% 7%
5-8-0-1 11 18.2 0% 1%
4-8-0-0 8 16.0 0% <1%
2-9-0-1 5 13.4 0% <1%
0-8-0-0 0 4.4 0% 0%
0-16-0-0 0 4.1 0% 0%
0-3-0-0 0 0.0 0% 0%
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (3%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 6% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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