Projected standings - 16U Diamond 2
19 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 3 Finish 1 → 6
2-2-0-0 4 16.6 49% 88%
4-2-1-0 9 16.5 46% 98%
5-2-0-0 10 14.8 2% 77%
3-2-0-0 6 13.1 2% 27%
0-5-0-2 2 10.9 1% 10%
0-6-0-0 0 3.3 0% 0%
44 remaining games are against teams outside the division and are left out: the two sides are rated on different scales, so no probability can be read from them.
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (0%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 33% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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