Projected standings - 16U Futures 2
66 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 5 Finish 1 → 11
3-2-0-0 6 28.1 85% 100%
3-4-0-0 6 23.9 13% 99%
2-4-0-0 4 22.3 1% 99%
2-2-0-0 4 18.4 <1% 70%
1-3-0-0 2 17.0 <1% 53%
2-1-1-0 5 15.8 <1% 37%
1-5-0-0 2 15.5 <1% 32%
2-4-0-0 4 13.1 0% 9%
0-5-1-0 1 7.6 0% <1%
0-7-0-1 1 6.1 0% 0%
0-6-0-0 0 3.4 0% 0%
30 remaining games are against teams outside the division and are left out: the two sides are rated on different scales, so no probability can be read from them.
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (0%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 6% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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