Projected standings - 18U
254 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 24 Finish 1 → 48
2-0-0-0 4 40.9 62% 100%
2-0-2-0 6 39.5 37% 100%
6-0-0-0 12 36.1 <1% 100%
5-0-2-0 12 35.1 1% 100%
1-0-0-0 2 29.4 0% 100%
0-0-0-0 0 26.7 0% 100%
1-0-0-0 2 24.8 0% >99%
1-0-0-0 2 24.5 0% 100%
3-1-0-0 6 23.9 0% 100%
3-4-1-1 8 21.4 0% 100%
2-2-0-0 4 21.1 0% >99%
1-0-1-0 3 20.9 0% 100%
3-2-1-0 7 20.4 0% >99%
2-2-3-1 8 19.8 0% >99%
0-0-0-0 0 19.5 0% >99%
5-2-1-0 11 18.4 0% >99%
2-1-0-0 4 18.3 0% >99%
3-2-0-0 6 17.8 0% 99%
3-4-0-0 6 16.9 0% 97%
0-0-0-0 0 16.8 0% 99%
2-1-1-0 5 13.8 0% 89%
2-5-0-0 4 13.1 0% 80%
0-0-0-0 0 11.8 0% 61%
1-2-1-0 3 11.5 0% 56%
0-0-0-0 0 9.8 0% 29%
0-1-0-0 0 9.4 0% 27%
0-3-1-0 1 8.6 0% 17%
0-0-0-0 0 8.4 0% 11%
0-1-0-0 0 8.1 0% 12%
0-2-0-2 2 7.7 0% 8%
0-2-0-0 0 7.5 0% 8%
0-0-0-0 0 6.6 0% 2%
0-4-0-0 0 6.1 0% 2%
1-2-1-0 3 5.6 0% 0%
0-2-0-0 0 5.6 0% 1%
0-2-0-0 0 5.2 0% 1%
0-1-0-0 0 5.0 0% 1%
2-1-1-0 5 5.0 0% 0%
1-1-2-0 4 4.0 0% 0%
2-2-0-0 4 4.0 0% 0%
0-0-0-0 0 3.5 0% 0%
1-2-1-0 3 3.0 0% 0%
1-2-1-0 3 3.0 0% 0%
0-0-0-0 0 2.1 0% 0%
0-0-0-0 0 2.0 0% 0%
1-3-0-0 2 2.0 0% 0%
0-0-0-0 0 0.0 0% 0%
0-0-0-0 0 0.0 0% 0%
* No KRACH rating yet, so played at the division's median rating (38).
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (14%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 7% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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