Projected standings - 14U Futures Gold 2
53 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 8 Finish 1 → 16
9-0-0-0 18 30.1 >99% 100%
5-0-0-0 10 22.4 0% 99%
6-3-0-1 13 22.3 <1% 98%
5-4-0-0 10 21.9 <1% 96%
5-3-0-0 10 20.8 0% 95%
3-4-1-0 7 18.4 0% 70%
9-1-0-0 18 18.0 0% 82%
6-2-1-0 13 17.7 0% 55%
5-3-0-0 10 16.7 0% 38%
2-4-0-1 5 16.2 0% 30%
6-3-1-1 14 15.5 0% 10%
4-3-0-0 8 15.4 0% 11%
4-5-0-2 10 15.1 0% 17%
3-6-0-0 6 10.1 0% <1%
3-7-0-0 6 7.3 0% 0%
3-6-0-0 6 7.2 0% 0%
12 remaining games are against teams outside the division and are left out: the two sides are rated on different scales, so no probability can be read from them.
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (2%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 10% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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