Projected standings - 18U Diamond 1
34 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 3 Finish 1 → 7
4-3-0-0 8 28.5 61% 99%
8-3-0-0 16 27.0 30% 97%
5-5-0-0 10 23.7 9% 80%
5-5-0-1 11 20.2 1% 24%
4-6-0-0 8 12.8 0% <1%
3-3-0-0 6 12.1 0% <1%
0-8-0-0 0 2.7 0% 0%
6 remaining games are against teams outside the division and are left out: the two sides are rated on different scales, so no probability can be read from them.
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (0%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 0% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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