Projected standings - 11U
171 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 10 Finish 1 → 20
3-0-0-0 6 46.2 66% 100%
3-1-0-0 6 43.5 23% 100%
3-2-0-0 6 41.9 11% 100%
4-0-0-0 8 39.1 0% 100%
4-3-0-1 9 35.0 <1% >99%
3-1-0-0 6 34.2 <1% >99%
8-0-0-0 16 27.7 0% >99%
2-4-0-0 4 25.1 0% 83%
2-2-0-1 5 24.2 0% 81%
1-4-0-1 3 23.8 0% 76%
3-3-0-0 6 20.1 0% 33%
3-4-1-0 7 19.1 0% 19%
2-6-0-0 4 16.1 0% 4%
2-3-1-0 5 14.8 0% 3%
2-2-0-0 4 13.6 0% 2%
0-0-0-0 0 11.1 0% <1%
0-2-0-0 0 8.1 0% 0%
0-8-0-0 0 2.5 0% 0%
0-0-0-0 0 2.1 0% 0%
0-0-0-0 0 0.0 0% 0%
* No KRACH rating yet, so played at the division's median rating (99).
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (2%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 7% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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