Projected standings - 10U Lemieux
155 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 12 Finish 1 → 25
13-1-0-0 26 54.9 99% 100%
13-3-0-1 27 48.1 <1% 100%
6-4-0-1 13 46.3 1% 100%
7-3-0-0 14 43.9 <1% 100%
8-4-0-0 16 35.4 0% >99%
6-7-0-2 14 31.6 0% >99%
6-3-1-0 13 31.1 0% >99%
3-1-2-0 8 24.7 0% 94%
8-1-0-0 16 23.9 0% >99%
5-6-1-0 11 23.8 0% 80%
7-0-0-0 14 21.9 0% 71%
3-8-0-0 6 21.7 0% 55%
1-11-0-0 2 20.9 0% 45%
2-9-0-0 4 20.4 0% 40%
1-10-0-0 2 16.8 0% 11%
5-9-0-0 10 16.2 0% 5%
2-1-1-0 5 15.0 0% 0%
7-3-0-0 14 14.0 0% 0%
4-4-1-0 9 13.7 0% <1%
3-8-0-0 6 12.1 0% <1%
4-5-0-1 9 12.0 0% 0%
2-8-0-0 4 7.8 0% 0%
1-5-0-0 2 4.2 0% 0%
1-7-0-1 3 3.9 0% 0%
1-6-0-0 2 3.4 0% 0%
* No KRACH rating yet, so played at the division's median rating (8.5).
51 remaining games are against teams outside the division and are left out: the two sides are rated on different scales, so no probability can be read from them.
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (3%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 5% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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