Projected standings - 16U Gretzky
146 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 10 Finish 1 → 21
9-1-0-0 18 60.3 94% 100%
8-1-0-0 16 55.2 6% 100%
9-1-0-0 18 43.0 0% 100%
8-3-0-0 16 42.2 0% 100%
8-7-1-0 17 41.3 0% 100%
5-3-1-0 11 35.2 0% >99%
5-6-0-0 10 30.2 0% >99%
7-1-0-0 14 28.1 0% 100%
7-6-0-1 15 22.7 0% 89%
8-2-0-1 17 20.9 0% 73%
4-7-0-0 8 19.3 0% 33%
3-7-0-0 6 15.4 0% 1%
2-8-0-0 4 13.4 0% 2%
1-9-2-0 4 13.2 0% 1%
2-4-0-0 4 11.9 0% 0%
0-1-0-0 0 8.2 0% 0%
4-0-0-0 8 8.0 0% 0%
1-9-0-0 2 7.7 0% 0%
1-4-1-1 4 7.5 0% 0%
0-3-1-0 1 4.7 0% 0%
0-9-0-1 1 3.5 0% 0%
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (3%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 4% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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