Projected standings - 18U Diamond 2
41 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 4 Finish 1 → 8
4-1-0-1 9 32.6 61% 100%
9-1-0-0 18 31.9 39% 100%
5-3-0-0 10 22.7 0% 95%
4-5-0-0 8 19.3 0% 66%
6-4-0-0 12 18.1 0% 36%
3-7-0-1 7 13.3 0% 3%
1-4-0-0 2 10.1 0% <1%
0-9-0-0 0 1.3 0% 0%
5 remaining games are against teams outside the division and are left out: the two sides are rated on different scales, so no probability can be read from them.
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (0%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 3% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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