Projected standings - 18U AA
251 division games left, played out 10,000 times.
Team W-L-T-OTL PTS Proj PTS 1st Top 18 Finish 1 → 37
12-1-0-0 24 58.7 99% 100%
10-3-2-2 24 48.8 1% 100%
9-4-1-0 19 46.5 0% 100%
12-5-1-0 25 46.5 <1% 100%
8-2-0-0 16 46.3 <1% 100%
6-1-0-0 12 42.9 <1% 100%
5-4-1-1 12 40.0 0% 100%
3-2-1-0 7 34.7 0% >99%
6-3-1-0 13 34.2 0% >99%
7-2-0-0 14 33.8 0% 100%
7-4-0-0 14 32.4 0% >99%
5-4-1-0 11 32.4 0% >99%
8-0-0-0 16 31.5 0% 100%
5-2-2-0 12 30.0 0% >99%
6-7-0-1 13 29.5 0% >99%
7-4-1-0 15 28.6 0% 100%
3-6-1-1 8 22.9 0% 76%
5-0-1-0 11 20.4 0% 52%
3-1-0-0 6 19.2 0% 27%
6-5-0-0 12 17.7 0% 11%
3-6-1-0 7 17.1 0% 15%
2-7-1-0 5 16.8 0% 12%
4-0-0-0 8 15.7 0% 0%
3-7-1-0 7 15.5 0% 1%
2-10-1-1 6 15.2 0% 6%
0-4-1-0 1 13.5 0% 1%
3-5-1-0 7 12.3 0% 0%
2-5-1-2 7 11.2 0% 0%
0-1-0-0 0 10.2 0% <1%
2-6-0-1 5 10.0 0% 0%
2-11-0-1 5 8.6 0% 0%
1-2-1-1 4 8.0 0% 0%
1-10-0-0 2 7.7 0% 0%
1-16-1-0 3 7.3 0% 0%
3-1-0-0 6 6.0 0% 0%
0-11-0-0 0 2.7 0% 0%
0-0-0-0 0 0.0 0% 0%
* No KRACH rating yet, so played at the division's median rating (49.5).
Chance 0% to 100%
The finish strip shows each place from first to last; tap or hover a square for its chance.
How this works

Every division game still to be played is played out 10,000 times. A game ends tied as often as this division's finished games have (6%); otherwise a team rated Ka beats one rated Kb with probability Ka / (Ka + Kb), and 7% of those wins come in overtime, as they have so far. Points are counted as the standings count them: two for a win, one for a tie or an overtime loss.

Places go by points. Teams level on points are ordered at random, since there is no tiebreaker on record to apply, so a real tiebreaker could swing a close race. Ratings are held where they are today: they do not rise or fall with the simulated results, and games against teams outside the division are left out. How KRACH works →

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